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Expert insights
Specialised in inflation and monetary policy themes
Forecasting the UK and Euro area economies
Global geopolitical analysis
UK Inflation Flies Cuts To 2025
A surprising airfare rebound extended CPI inflation’s energised rise to 2.3%. Its higher weighting in core and services measures compounded the upside surprise there.Underlying inflation also strengthened on other measures, …
UK Teaches Youth Unemployment
UK unemployment jumped by 0.3pp to 4.3% in September as students struggled to find work in the new academic year, extending a trend since the election was called.Evidence for this …
US Politics: Promises, Promises
For all of Donald Trump’s unpredictability, one issue he has been consistent with for many years is the use of tariffs to redress the ‘unfair’ trade practices he believes to …
Reliable forecasts and indicators
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Inflation forecasts across Europe (22 countries)
Continual updates for data releases and news
Full detail and aggregates to aid interpretation
Forecast evolution data
Underlying inflation measures for all countries
Indicator series crucial to numerous models
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